Malawi’s ease in headline inflation, albeit marginally, in the past months is offering glimmers of hope among industry players who say the slowdown could help ease cost pressures and provide a more stable environment.
In the last few months, headline inflation has been dropping—year-on-year—with the private sector players saying the situation gives confidence that prices may become more stable and economic conditions may improve.
Figures from the National Statistical Office show that for a seventh month in a row, Malawi’s headline inflation eased to 20.0 percent in August 2026, from 20.8 percent in July, a decline of 0.8 percentage points.
Food inflation fell to 13.4 percent in August from 14.3 percent in July, reflecting slower increases in food prices relative to the same period last year. Non-food inflation eased slightly to 31.8 percent from 32.2 percent.
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But the month-to-month inflation rate was still 2.0 percent in August, which shows that the easing does not mean prices are falling overall.
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But in a response to a written questionnaire, Malawi Confederation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (MCCCI) Chief Executive Officer Daisy Kambalame rated the recent moderation in inflation as a positive signal for the business community, reflecting improved market conditions.
“Nevertheless, despite this encouraging trend, the prevailing inflation rate of approximately 20 percent remains significantly elevated.
“At such levels, inflation continues to erode purchasing power and undermines investor confidence, thereby constraining the country’s ability to mobilize capital for long-term development,” she said.
She however said the operating environment remained highly challenging for the private sector, characterized by persistent macroeconmic constraints, most notably foreign exchange shortages and elevated borrowing costs, which continue to impede production capacity and undermine competitiveness.
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These pressures, coupled with structural bottlenecks including unreliable energy supply, geopolitical tensions, and policy inconsistencies, all of which exacerbate the cost of doing business, according to Kambalame.
Commenting on the outlook, she said the short term economic risks remain elevated, citing the anticipated El Niño phenomenon, which poses significant threats to the agricultural sector.
In its commentary on LinkedIn, the Reserve Bank of Malawi said sustained downward trend in inflation, however, reflects improving price stability across the economy and underscores the effectiveness of ongoing macroeconomic policies.
“While inflation remains elevated, the continued moderation in price pressures is a positive development for households, businesses, and investors,” RBM says.
Speaking after an interface with President Peter Mutharika on Friday, Bankers Association of Malawi President Phillip Madinga cited falling inflation and reduced policy rate in recent months among key indicators that the economy is moving in the right direction. “Inflation is going down, and significant strides are being made toward economic recovery,” Madinga said
